Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.913260 2.018597 2.128002 2.250381 2.383773 2.525115 2.686670
2026-01-25 1.734729 1.885388 2.049184 2.241583 2.462803 2.710929 3.012751
2026-02-01 1.584558 1.760403 1.958252 2.199586 2.489138 2.829492 3.266168
2026-02-08 1.447189 1.634113 1.849888 2.120794 2.456844 2.867042 3.417170
2026-02-15 1.355699 1.552208 1.784118 2.082751 2.464424 2.946709 3.621107
2026-02-22 1.292265 1.498050 1.745789 2.072286 2.501344 3.061654 3.877818
2026-03-01 1.228350 1.438457 1.695574 2.041041 2.505858 3.130379 4.073575
2026-03-08 1.148732 1.354684 1.609600 1.956795 2.431842 3.083370 4.093954
2026-03-15 1.109570 1.319721 1.583485 1.948814 2.459278 3.177890 4.331676
2026-03-22 1.101768 1.323962 1.607576 2.008554 2.583625 3.420357 4.825298
2026-03-29 1.072356 1.298390 1.590526 2.009956 2.623517 3.539337 5.132662
2026-04-05 1.052117 1.283743 1.586959 2.029287 2.689922 3.703213 5.535766
2026-04-12 1.031851 1.270464 1.587576 2.059063 2.781178 3.926592 6.102427
2026-04-19 0.997097 1.236473 1.558429 2.044476 2.804268 4.043450 6.498109
2026-04-26 0.956785 1.193268 1.514399 2.005221 2.785417 4.087644 6.760822
2026-05-03 0.909815 1.139105 1.452517 1.935624 2.712526 4.030484 6.805902
2026-05-10 0.877130 1.103589 1.415714 1.902076 2.695975 4.071517 7.067816
2026-05-17 0.853936 1.080426 1.395570 1.892791 2.718609 4.185505 7.513713
2026-05-24 0.827068 1.051059 1.365081 1.865481 2.708276 4.236078 7.822643
2026-05-31 0.788624 1.004056 1.307033 1.791857 2.613267 4.115300 7.693904
2026-06-07 0.770881 0.986112 1.291264 1.784864 2.634082 4.222692 8.159505
2026-06-14 0.770115 0.992456 1.311725 1.837085 2.763530 4.562376 9.327032
2026-06-21 0.756023 0.978890 1.301524 1.838307 2.800245 4.714773 10.023241